Strategy stock slides 8.22% as technicals deteriorate despite large Bitcoin purchase

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Strategy Incorporated slides 8.22% today

Highlights

Strategy acquired 10,645 Bitcoin for about $980.3 million between December 8 and 14, 2025, according to SEC filings.
Total Bitcoin holdings rose to 671,268 BTC at an average purchase price of $74,972 per coin, funded by common stock and perpetual preferred share sales.
The company set aside a $1.44 billion reserve for dividend and interest payments and maintained its Nasdaq 100 position, while MSCI index eligibility remains under discussion.

Bitcoin accumulation drives capital moves amid index eligibility debate

Strategy recently confirmed the purchase of 10,645 Bitcoin for about $980.3 million between December 8 and 14, 2025, according to SEC filings. These acquisitions were funded through ongoing sales of common stock and perpetual preferred shares, bringing total Bitcoin holdings to 671,268 BTC acquired at an average price of $74,972 per coin. The company also established a $1.44 billion reserve to support dividend and interest payments and retained its position in the Nasdaq 100 following the annual reconstitution. Ongoing discussions continue regarding eligibility for MSCI indexes due to the significant digital asset portfolio.

Oversold readings reinforce strong downside as resistance holds firm

Momentum signals for MSTR remain strongly negative, with the MACD in strong sell territory and a high ADX reading (36.77, sell) confirming pronounced downside strength. RSI (30.86), Stoch RSI (29.01, neutral), and CCI (–144.01, oversold) highlight oversold conditions, supported by an intraday BBP of –5.23 that reflects clear seller dominance. No significant support is evident above the current price, with dynamic resistance at the Ichimoku Kijun level near $202.79.

High risk of continued decline given volatile, resistance-limited range

Given current volatility and price position, MSTR's typical short-term range is likely to be $145 – $180. The probability of a further decline remains very high (over 80%), with consolidation expected below resistance. A price rebound would require a breakout above $180 and then $202.79, which is unlikely under prevailing technical conditions. Should prices fall through $145, bearish momentum may accelerate, exposing further downside.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, Senior Analyst at Traders Union, notes that MSTR's fundamentals remain strong after substantial Bitcoin acquisitions and a robust capital reserve. He views the company’s commitment to its digital asset portfolio and Nasdaq 100 status as a positive macro signal, but he acknowledges that technical momentum is clearly negative and pressure remains heavy. The analyst sees high volatility within a defined range and expects more downside risk in the short term, with sentiment deeply oversold. Still, he believes institutional support and long-term strategy could offer recovery potential. "A decisive break above $180 would improve the outlook, but for now, the bias remains to the downside until structural momentum shifts," he says.

Source of Data: MSTR Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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