AST SpaceMobile stock price forecast: Limited upside as ASTS tests $92 resistance after earnings jump

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AST SpaceMobile gains 5.44% to $83.50

Highlights

AST SpaceMobile reported Q4 2025 earnings and is preparing its BlueBird 7 satellite for a Blue Origin New Glenn launch in late February 2026.
The company will invest in AI initiatives, U.S. government space projects, and a $300 million buyback of its 2032 convertible debt, plus added Orange and defense partnerships.
AST SpaceMobile’s price closed at $83.50, below MA-20/50, with near-term bearish pressure and a support band between $75.00–$92.00, favoring continued sideways to downward movement.

Earnings update and new contracts drive repositioning for growth initiatives

AST SpaceMobile has reported its fourth-quarter 2025 earnings and confirmed that preparations are underway to encapsulate its BlueBird 7 satellite in Blue Origin’s New Glenn rocket for a launch planned no earlier than late February 2026. The company announced plans to allocate proceeds toward AI initiatives, U.S. government space opportunities, and a $300 million buyback of convertible debt maturing in 2032. Additional developments include a defense contract awarded by the U.S. Space Development Agency under the Europa Track 2 program, a new partnership with Orange for direct-to-cell satellite connectivity in Europe, and a prime position on the U.S. Missile Defense Agency SHIELD program.

Oversold signals and weak trend amid failed resistance tests

Technical analysis shows the price is below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, highlighting ongoing near- to medium-term bearishness, but stands well above the 200-day average, providing longer-term support. The Ichimoku Kijun level at $103.41 serves as an immediate resistance. Momentum indicators, including the MACD and ADX, point to weak trend signals, while the RSI, Stochastic RSI, and CCI all reflect oversold or selling conditions. Bull/Bear Power indicates that sellers dominate the intraday momentum; despite a gap down at the open, the price closed near today’s high, with moderate intraday volatility and some recovery strength toward the upper end of the daily range.

Downside risk prevails as rangebound action likely to continue

For the coming week, the expected price range is set at $75.00 – $92.00, consistent with typical volatility around current levels. The probability of further price increases is very low (less than 20%), and a decline is more likely, with the baseline scenario anticipating the price will hold within the sideways corridor of $75.00 – $92.00. A bullish scenario would require a clear, sustained breakout above the $92.00 resistance, while a bearish outcome could send the stock below $75.00 if renewed selling pressure emerges.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees AST SpaceMobile as fundamentally supported by ongoing government contracts and new partnerships, despite current technical headwinds. He notes that strong institutional and strategic developments, such as the Europa Track 2 defense award and satellite launches, reinforce longer-term confidence. However, price action remains trapped below key moving averages, signaling persistent short-term bearishness. Nonetheless, the outlook remains constructive as long as the price stays above the $75.00 support base. "With solid execution of government and corporate strategies, AST SpaceMobile can build new momentum, even if short-term volatility remains elevated."

Previously it was reported that AST SpaceMobile Inc. is trading below its short- and medium-term moving averages, indicating continued selling pressure, while remaining above its long-term support. Momentum indicators, including a bearish MACD and oversold oscillators like RSI and CCI, highlight persistent weak momentum despite an intraday gain and firm long-term support near the 200-day moving average.

Source of Data: ASTS Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.