Matthew Klein: Brent futures curve offers risk premium on distant contracts

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Olesia Kramarenko

09.03.2026

Matthew Klein: Brent futures curve offers risk premium on distant contracts — Brent curve offers risk premium

Matthew Klein points to the Brent futures curve, referencing a comment from an industry expert. According to Klein, investors have an opportunity to earn a risk premium by purchasing commodity futures contracts at a discount to the spot price.

The observation highlights a strategy in commodity markets where buying long-dated futures below spot can potentially generate excess returns for traders willing to take on additional risk.

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Klein’s perspective on futures markets aligns with his broader examination of macroeconomic forces, including his previous assessment of how a potential shift in U.S. tariffs could impact the balance of payments by 2026. His analysis also builds upon insights into how recent economic shocks have reshaped inflation expectations, emphasizing the interconnected nature of risk, policy, and premium opportunities in today’s volatile environment.

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.

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