Luke Gromen: U.S. debt spiral risk rises as 10y UST yields near key threshold

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Hanna Syniavska

24.03.2026

Luke Gromen: U.S. debt spiral risk rises as 10y UST yields near key threshold — U.S. debt spiral pressure builds

Luke Gromen analyzes links between U.S. 10-year Treasury yields, currency-oil pairings, and global market stress. He notes the Strait of Hormuz remains closed and that China holds several years of oil inventories, while U.S. 10-year yields are just 20–30 basis points away from potentially triggering a U.S. and global debt spiral.

Gromen encourages market participants to monitor which event will unfold first, emphasizing the interconnected risks facing markets.

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Gromen recently highlighted that gold dropped below $4500 for its largest weekly decline since 1983. In a separate note, he suggested that gold may provide relief as oil prices surge. These comments follow his ongoing analysis of market risks tied to commodities and fixed income.

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