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U.S. services sector sentiment fell in March but remains resilient, according to economist Gregory Daco. The ISM Services Index dropped by 2.1 points to 54, with activity at 53.9, down 6.0 points. New orders improved to 60.6, while employment declined sharply to 45.2, falling 6.6 points.
Backlogs ticked up to 53.6, and inflation surged to 70.7—the highest since October 2022. Daco highlights the mixed dynamics within the sector amid ongoing price pressures.
Earlier this year, Daco flagged that U.S. real GDP growth slowed to 0.7 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 as a government shutdown weighed on output and inflation stood at 2.8 percent year over year (full story). He separately examined the U.S. Consumer Price Index holding at 2.4 percent and outlined risks from tariff passthrough and an oil price shock (details). These recent developments provide context for the ongoing shifts in services sector sentiment and inflation pressures.