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Polymarket's price on an Iran cease fire has experienced a rapid and significant increase, according to Glen McGregor. The spike was observed just two hours before an anticipated 'TACO time,' indicating heightened market activity and speculation related to the outcome of the event.
McGregor highlighted the sharp move using the term 'hockey sticked,' suggesting a pronounced upward shift in contract value.
McGregor has previously tracked notable movements in economic data. In February, he reported that inflation readings appeared lower, citing the impact of a GST holiday that offset January's prior effect. Details of the February inflation data are covered in his earlier analysis.