Craig Shapiro: Equity futures price best-case Iran outcome as bond yields rise

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Artem Shendetskii

26.05.2026

Craig Shapiro: Equity futures price best-case Iran outcome as bond yields rise — Equity futures rise as yields climb

Craig Shapiro comments that equity futures are currently pricing in a best-case outcome for Iran, while the bond market is not reflecting the same optimism.

He points out that the recent 40 basis point increase in 10-year yields has transitioned from being attributed to inflation concerns to being seen as a result of rising real yields.

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Shapiro has previously observed overbought conditions, noting the SPY RSI reached 76.3 and breadth declined sharply earlier in May here. On the day of May options expiry, he also warned that the removal of positive gamma could trigger a period of market weakness here. These prior cautions come as market sentiment continues to shift.

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.

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