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Kevin Green highlights that WTI has closed below its 50-day simple moving average for the first time since the start of its upward move in January.
He observes that oil has shifted into a bearish formation from a technical perspective. Additionally, he points out that the 3:2:1 crack spread has narrowed, with byproduct prices declining more rapidly than the input oil price.
Green has recently questioned the timing of market-moving news appearing before the U.S. equity open and notable declines in crude, noting concerns after an 8% drop in prices in a prior report. He has also expressed skepticism toward rapid changes in market sentiment, calling for caution over outright bearishness in a separate commentary. These perspectives come as the technical outlook for oil shifts.