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Brian Sullivan highlights the unexpected shift in tone at the latest Federal Reserve meeting, describing it as much more dramatic than anticipated.
He points out that the likelihood of a rate hike by December now exceeds the chances of a rate cut. Sullivan also questions the rationale behind the previously projected 2024 rate cuts, suggesting that the Fed may reverse those by year end.
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Sullivan has previously tracked key market milestones. He observed that the S&P 500 was just 0.04% away from matching a four-decade record of 10 consecutive weekly gains. He also reported that oil prices slipped to nearly $80 following positive sentiment from Iran peace talks. These updates come as central bank policy expectations shift.