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Brian Sullivan highlights the unexpected shift in tone at the latest Federal Reserve meeting, describing it as much more dramatic than anticipated.
He points out that the likelihood of a rate hike by December now exceeds the chances of a rate cut. Sullivan also questions the rationale behind the previously projected 2024 rate cuts, suggesting that the Fed may reverse those by year end.
Sullivan has previously tracked key market milestones. He observed that the S&P 500 was just 0.04% away from matching a four-decade record of 10 consecutive weekly gains. He also reported that oil prices slipped to nearly $80 following positive sentiment from Iran peace talks. These updates come as central bank policy expectations shift.