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Ray Dalio expressed concerns about increasing risks in the United States as the country approaches the next cycle of major elections.
He highlighted a convergence of political uncertainty and a threatening monetary environment, specifically in the period spanning the 2026 midterm election through the 2028 presidential election. Dalio noted that the U.S. government’s current spending patterns add to these economic risks. The remarks contribute to ongoing discussions about fiscal sustainability and political volatility in the U.S.
Dalio has previously advised that financial professionals should analyze individual data points in the wider context. He has also warned that the rise of artificial intelligence may boost productivity while increasing the wealth gap and reducing jobs, presenting new challenges for policymakers (link). His recent comments add to an ongoing dialogue about systemic risks and economic policy in the U.S.