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Robin Brooks questions the credibility of discussions around significant reductions in the Federal Reserve's balance sheet.
He notes that previous episodes of quantitative tightening were relatively small, suggesting expectations for major balance sheet contraction are not credible.
Brooks has previously pointed to persistent risks in commodity markets. He recently said that Brent crude prices are expected to stay in the $80-90 range due to war-related risks. In another note, he observed that oil prices remained flat despite bullish sentiment and strong U.S. payrolls. These observations come as he continues to question the scale of monetary policy adjustments.