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Rick Palacios Jr. highlights that, on a national level, new homes in the U.S. are currently being sold at a discount compared to resale properties, a situation he describes as extremely rare.
He adds that while some of this discrepancy may be due to differences between new and resale homes, at a macro level, he is confident that this price trend will reverse in 2027 as homebuilders shift away from entry-level offerings with high incentives.
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Palacios previously reported that Seattle's new home sales have fallen below levels seen after the subprime collapse, reflecting localized weakness in the sector (link). He also noted the 10-year Treasury yield hitting a new peak of 4.74 percent for 2026, adding to pressure on housing (link). These developments offer context for recent pricing shifts between new and resale homes.