Fed must decide between rate cuts or hikes for long-end yields, Luke Gromen argues

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23.09.2026

Fed must decide between rate cuts or hikes for long-end yields, Luke Gromen argues — Fed weighs inflation risk against market pain

Luke Gromen, founder, president, macroeconomic analyst, investor at FFTT, LLC (Forest for the Trees), assesses the Federal Reserve's ongoing struggle to control 10-year yields through interest rate hikes.

Gromen suggests that the Federal Reserve is now confronted with a dilemma: either cut rates, accepting near-term inflation for a potentially positive medium-term outcome, or persist in hiking rates, resulting in near-term pain but risking a longer-term inflationary scenario similar to Argentina.

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Gromen previously argued that allowing gold prices to rise could help balance U.S. trade by weakening the dollar and supporting Chinese consumption, according to a past analysis (link). He has also noted that gold historically outperforms major sectors during late-stage U.S. capex booms (link). These views reflect his ongoing focus on the interplay between U.S. monetary policy and global markets.

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.

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