Persistently higher Treasury yields may add trillions to U.S. debt, Scott Lincicome notes

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Yaroslav Dmytrenko

02.10.2026

Persistently higher Treasury yields may add trillions to U.S. debt, Scott Lincicome notes — Higher yields may boost U.S. debt

Scott Lincicome highlights that persistently higher Treasury yields could add trillions of dollars to U.S. government debt over the next 10 years.

He references analysis suggesting that prolonged elevated yields may significantly increase the cost of borrowing for the U.S., resulting in a much larger debt burden in the coming decade.

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Lincicome has previously noted that predictions of China surpassing the U.S. economy have faded as China’s economic outlook shifted, according to his earlier analysis. In another report, he observed that the U.S. trade deficit reached a record high in 2025 while the nation's share of global trade declined and exports rose that year. These trends provide context for ongoing concerns about U.S. fiscal and economic pressures.

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.

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