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Callum Thomas observes that when adjusting for CPI and including interest, TLT is very close to round-tripping its total return since inception.
This means the long-term government bond ETF has nearly returned to its original value after accounting for inflation and interest payments.
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Callum Thomas recently highlighted the range of chart sources in his weekly S&P 500 chartstorm blog post. He has previously argued that the Federal Reserve should raise the fed funds rate to 5 percent in response to inflation trends, over 100 basis points above its prior level, in a separate analysis on interest rates. Thomas continues to track key indicators across asset classes.