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E.J. Antoni reports that the New York Federal Reserve’s Q3 GDP forecast has increased to 2.65 percent, marking a new cycle high.
The projection is now gradually aligning with the Atlanta Fed's estimate.
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Antoni recently reported that U.S. SPR withdrawals have slowed while private oil stocks dropped by nearly 3.2 million barrels last week. In a separate update, he noted the Paychex small business jobs index stayed below 100 for the 17th consecutive month. Both metrics signal ongoing shifts in energy inventories and labor markets.