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Michael Kao: Calls for lower rates may precede downturn

Michael Kao: Calls for lower rates may precede downturn
Lower rates may signal economic bust

Michael Kao, CIO at Akadia Capital, cautioned that while many are concerned about yields returning to pre-GFC levels, a significant drop in rates could be tied to an economic and market downturn.

Kao advised people to be mindful of what they wish for regarding interest rate movements, suggesting that a desirable rate environment may come with unwanted consequences.

Kao recently commented that TLT showed signs of a capitulation bottom after a period of perceived overselling. He also observed heightened market volatility following the breakdown of the TLT double-bottom on October 7, 2026. These earlier views add context to his current warnings on interest rate movements.

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.

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