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James E. Thorne: Gulf oil flows surpass prewar levels with tanker rates and geopolitical premium remaining

James E. Thorne: Gulf oil flows surpass prewar levels with tanker rates and geopolitical premium remaining
Gulf oil returns above prewar levels

Gulf oil flows have already rebounded to levels above those seen before the war, according to James E. Thorne. He notes that what is still reflected in prices are tanker rates, which remain elevated at 5 to 10 times their previous levels, along with a geopolitical premium. Thorne adds that these risk premia could quickly disappear and comments that the more the Federal Reserve tightens monetary policy now, the more it may cut in 2027.

Thorne previously noted that Bond Vigilantes are closely watching underlying Consumer Price Index data, as reported in an earlier article. He has also projected that the S&P 500 could reach 10,000 by 2027, encouraging investors to consider buying on market dips according to a prior forecast. These recent assessments further outline his outlook on market risks and opportunities.

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.

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