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Reliable assessments of Iran’s domestic economic performance during the war and blockade are difficult, with information primarily limited to foreign exchange rates and oil export figures.
Rory Johnston said it appears that the U.S. Treasury also does not have access to more comprehensive data in this area.
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Earlier this month, Rory Johnston observed a bearish divergence between the prompt Brent crude futures price and the corresponding timespread in recent market commentary. He also noted that crude oil prices rebounded into positive territory after an initial decline, with volatility persisting during the week, as reported in another update. These prior observations highlight Johnston’s ongoing focus on oil market pricing and trends.