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CME Group reports a surge in put volume for short-dated expiries on E-mini S&P 500 options.
Participants are turning to ES options to manage around-the-clock headline risk. Details are being clarified.
CME is trading at $297.58, below both the MA-20 ($311.56) and MA-50 ($301.78), but well above the MA-200 ($279.18). This configuration signals short- and medium-term downside pressure while long-term structure remains bullish. The Ichimoku Kijun on D1 is at $311.06, marking immediate resistance. Near-term support lies at the MA-200 ($279.18) and MA-100 ($287.55), while near-term resistance is clustered around MA-50 ($301.78) and the Kijun ($311.06).
Momentum signals on D1 are mixed. MACD and ADX are neutral, reflecting a lack of clear direction. RSI (41.01), CCI (−145.46), Stoch RSI (16.72), and BBP (−5.05) all indicate oversold conditions and dominant seller pressure, suggesting a short-term exhaustion for bears. The Awesome Oscillator confirms the ongoing selling bias. CME has fallen $9.74 (3.17%) from last week's close at $307.32, now trading in the lower part of the recent range as weekly volatility stands at 6.45%. The week has shown a steady decline from the high with no recovery from the lows as of now. In today’s session, the stock has rebounded 1.24%, hinting at a potential intraday relief after recent declines.
For the next week, CME is expected to fluctuate between $292.00 and $308.00, keeping the range near the recent swing lows and well below the 52-week high of $329.16. The up probability is high (more than 80%) based on bullish readings for MA-50-W1, RSI-W1, ADX-W1, and MACD-W1, while further decline is less likely. The baseline scenario is continued sideways consolidation within this corridor. A bullish outcome would require a break above $308.00, suggesting a move toward the upper weekly band. A bearish scenario would see a drop through $292.00, exposing support levels closer to the yearly average, but the probability for a sustained move lower is currently very low. This outlook is anchored in the context of CME holding well above its 52-week low of $248.53, with current conditions favoring stabilization or a technical rebound.
Earlier, analysts noted that CME Group maintained a constructive long-term outlook despite short- and medium-term bearish pressures, with mixed technical signals indicating ongoing market indecision. This article offers an updated perspective for readers to monitor whether recent developments pave the way for a decisive breakout or reinforce continued consolidation around key levels.