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ConocoPhillips executive vice president Nick Olds addressed the future of U.S. shale at CERAWeek on Tuesday.
Olds described how ConocoPhillips is using scale, inventory and technology to maintain performance in the Lower 48. The comments appeared in a Q&A shared by the company.
COP is trading far above its key D1 moving averages, with the current price of $133.25 well above the MA-20 ($121.48), MA-50 ($111.62), and MA-200 ($97.46), confirming upside momentum in all short-, medium-, and long-term trends. The Ichimoku Kijun at $120.82 sits below the current price, which now acts as immediate support. For near-term support, watch MA-20 ($121.48), with MA-50 ($111.62) and the Ichimoku Kijun ($120.82) forming key support. Immediate resistance sits at the 52-week and session high ($133.53), with no MA levels above the current price.
Momentum on D1 remains robust, with both MACD and ADX signaling strong buyer control. However, overbought conditions are flagging across several oscillators: RSI on D1 stands at 80.81, Stoch RSI is maxed at 100, and CCI is elevated at 161.06. BBP also shows an overbought reading (8.49), confirming clear buyer dominance intraday. The Awesome Oscillator supports the prevailing uptrend. COP has risen $6.33 (4.99%) from last week’s close at $126.92, now sitting at the very top of its weekly range. Weekly volatility stands at 8.61%. The tone is bullish, with price extending to new highs and no sign of a pullback. In today's session, the stock is up 3.35%, emphasizing sustained upside pressure.
For the coming week, COP is projected to trade between $129.00 and $135.00, which keeps the range within 5% of the current price and near its 52-week peak. The probability of further upside is very high (more than 80%) based on the alignment of RSI-W1, ADX-W1, MACD-W1, and the bullish W1 MA-50. Downside risk is considered very low. The baseline scenario anticipates consolidation within this upper band as momentum remains strong but overbought. A bullish scenario would see COP break above $133.53 and extend further into uncharted territory. A bearish turn is likely only if the price closes below near-term support at $121.48, which would open a pullback toward MA-50. This range keeps COP anchored near its 52-week high, with the 52-week low at $79.88 now distant support.
Earlier, analysts noted that ConocoPhillips was exhibiting strong bullish momentum, supported by robust technical indicators and proactive portfolio management. Looking ahead, investors should closely monitor the stock for sustained strength or signs of potential correction, with particular attention to shifts in asset strategy that could impact the prevailing trend.