Monero weekly report: reclaims privacy coin lead with market cap surging past $10 billion

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Monero rises 3.10% this week

Highlights

Monero reclaimed the top privacy-focused crypto spot as Zcash faced governance disruptions and developer exits, fueling increased capital inflows to XMR.
XMR market capitalization surpassed $10 billion and network activity and trading volume climbed, despite regulatory headwinds and centralized exchange delistings.
Recent network upgrades, peer-to-peer adoption growth, and Monero’s decentralized governance have driven renewed attention and supported its market rebound this week.

Market cap milestone and renewed inflows as peers face governance turmoil

Monero regained its status as the top privacy-focused cryptocurrency by market capitalization following governance disruptions and a key developer team exit at Zcash, leading to increased capital inflows to XMR. The asset achieved a new milestone with its market capitalization surpassing $10 billion while trading volume and network activity also climbed. Despite ongoing regulatory headwinds, including delistings from major centralized exchanges and expanded compliance requirements, recent network upgrades and growth in peer-to-peer adoption have continued. Monero’s decentralized governance and privacy features have drawn renewed attention.

Elevated volatility and overbought signals as weekly bullish trend matures

On the weekly chart, XMR is trading well above the MA-20 ($368.28), MA-50 ($311.94), and MA-200 ($198.05), which strongly reinforces a bullish trend across all major timeframes. The current price also sits comfortably above the Ichimoku Kijun support at $391.30, with the next critical resistance level near the psychological $600 mark. Momentum indicators such as MACD and ADX both point to solid buyer dominance, while oscillators like the Stoch RSI, CCI, and BBP are all signaling overbought conditions, suggesting some caution as the rally matures. Volatility was elevated this week, with prices ranging from $431.27 to $558.13, and several overbought signals highlight the potential for short-term consolidation or pullbacks.

Upside breakout potential increases as technicals remain firmly bullish this week

Over the coming week, XMR is expected to trade within a $515.00–$630.00 range, reflecting robust buyer interest but also acknowledging room for consolidation as overbought conditions persist. With all major weekly technical indicators — RSI, ADX, MACD, and MA-50 — in clear 'Buy' territory, the probability of further price increases exceeds 80%. The baseline scenario calls for consolidation between $515 and $630, but a breakout above $630 would open the door for further bullish extension. Conversely, any profit-taking or pullback could see support tested near $515 before the market reestablishes direction.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, senior analyst at Traders Union, believes Monero’s robust price action this week confirms rising demand for privacy coins and persistent investor confidence. He notes that Monero outperformed its peers following network upgrades, increased capital inflows, and renewed attention to decentralized governance — all while regulatory obstacles have failed to disrupt its momentum. With XMR holding well above major moving averages and momentum indicators staying positive, Karapetjanc sees the bullish structure fully intact. He expects the coming week to offer further upside potential within a $515.00–$630.00 range and highlights continued adoption as a core driver. "With buyers firmly in control and sentiment supporting further growth, I expect Monero to remain a top performer in the privacy sector this week."

Previously it was noted that Monero regained its leadership among privacy-focused cryptocurrencies as the asset extended a multi-week rally and outperformed most rivals in its segment. Technical indicators favored XMR's advance, with market participants reassessing relative risk and longer-term resilience supporting ongoing momentum.

Source of Data: XMR Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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