Toncoin price prediction: Sideways or lower as TON extends intraday decline

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Toncoin slides 2.13% to $1.564 today

Highlights

Toncoin trades at $1.564, significantly below the MA-20 at $1.765, MA-50 at $1.642, and MA-200 at $2.457, confirming a clear multi-timeframe downtrend.
Momentum indicators, including RSI, Stochastic RSI, and CCI, signal oversold conditions, but weak ADX at 21.31 and negative Bull/Bear Power show sellers firmly control near-term direction.
Toncoin is likely to remain in a $1.55 to $1.65 range over the next five trading days, with less than a 20% probability of a sustained price increase.

Oversold signals persist as sellers dominate near-session lows

Momentum indicators highlight continued weakness for TON. The daily MACD remains neutral, while the ADX at 21.31 still favors sellers, though the trend lacks overwhelming strength. RSI, Stochastic RSI, and CCI all indicate oversold conditions, but the CCI and Stochastic RSI underline strong selling pressure. Bull/Bear Power is in negative territory, confirming intraday seller dominance as the asset trades near session lows with moderate volatility; the MA-50 at $1.642 and Ichimoku Kijun at $1.707 act as immediate resistance levels.

Sideways action likely as low upside probability constrains moves

Over the next five trading days, TON is expected to remain in a typical volatility band of $1.55 to $1.65. Major weekly indicators suggest less than a 20% chance for a substantial price increase, making sideways movement within this range the baseline scenario as oversold conditions may slow additional declines. A push above the $1.65 — $1.70 resistance zone is needed to trigger upside momentum, while a breakdown below $1.55 could lead to deeper losses.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, Traders Union expert, sees Toncoin locked in a firm downtrend with momentum indicators pointing to persistent weakness. He notes that recent price action remains below key moving averages, reflecting limited sentiment or macro drivers to shift direction for now. Resistance at $1.65 — $1.70 must be broken for any upside, while oversold conditions may slow further declines. Karapetjanc is constructive but patient in his outlook. "Sideways movement is likely this week, but a decisive breakout above resistance could change the tone quickly for TON."

Previously it was reported that Toncoin is trading below key short- and medium-term moving averages with ongoing bearish momentum, as technical indicators such as RSI and ADX reflect weak trend strength and a tilt toward downside risk. Despite some intraday buying interest and mixed momentum signals, the asset is expected to remain rangebound between support near $1.55 and resistance at $1.70, with a low probability of an imminent breakout.

Source of Data: TON Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.