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Tone Vays, bitcoin analyst, derivatives trader & event producer, shares his outlook for Bip110.
He anticipates that as Flag Day approaches, more miners will start signaling for the fork to give hope to supporters, but expects the actual fork to occur with close to only 3 percent of the network signaling, since signaling carries no cost. On the day of the fork, he projects that just about 1.5 percent of the network will be involved.
Vays recently discussed how Elon Musk launching a hypothetical competing Bitcoin client could turn Tesla cars into network nodes, raising questions about UASF scenarios in the network’s operation, according to a prior analysis. He has also stated that miners are unlikely to support proof-of-work changes without broad consensus, citing previous episodes of network resistance in his earlier commentary. These earlier comments highlight Vays' ongoing focus on miner behavior and potential forks in the Bitcoin ecosystem.