XRP price prediction: Volatility band holds as XRP drops 4.24%

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XRP drops 4.24% to $1.3499 today

Highlights

A critical security vulnerability was identified on the XRP Ledger blockchain just before a mainnet update, but follow-up details and responses remain undisclosed.
XRP saw $3.5 million in net inflows and a 212% surge in spot buy volume at Bitrue, even as major crypto funds witnessed outflows.
XRP is trading at $1.3499 below all key moving averages; technicals signal persistent bearish momentum with $1.22 as key support and $1.39 as immediate resistance.

Capital inflows rise despite security concerns and continued selling

A critical security vulnerability was recently flagged on the XRP Ledger's blockchain network just prior to a mainnet update, though further details and post-event actions remain undisclosed. Significant capital inflows into XRP have been observed, with the Bitrue exchange reporting a 212% increase in spot purchase volumes where buy-side activity exceeded sell-side transactions by over twofold. A $3.5 million positive net inflow was also recorded, even as other major crypto funds saw outflows, though price action has remained under broader selling pressure.

Bearish momentum holds as XRP nears oversold levels

The technical outlook remains negative for XRP, as it trades below all major moving averages with the Ichimoku Kijun level at $1.3943 serving as immediate resistance. Momentum indicators such as MACD and ADX continue to show bearish conditions, while RSI, Stochastic RSI, and CCI suggest the asset is near oversold territory but not at extreme levels. Bull/Bear Power reflects only a slight presence of buyers, and the Awesome Oscillator does not provide additional bearish confirmation. Intraday, XRP is trading near the day's low within a moderately volatile range, with collective signals pointing to sustained bearish momentum and no current bullish divergence.

Downside risk prevails amid narrow trading band outlook

Over the next five days, XRP is expected to fluctuate within a volatility band of $1.22 – $1.37. The probability of continued downside exceeds 80%. The baseline scenario anticipates consolidation inside this range. A bullish move would require a sustained breakout above the $1.39 resistance, while a drop below support at $1.22 could accelerate further declines.

Anton Kharitonov, analyst at Traders Union, highlights the heavy sell-side pressure on XRP as it trades firmly below all major moving averages and key resistance at $1.39. He notes significant capital inflows and above-average spot buying, but cautions that these positive flows are not yet translating into bullish momentum. Kharitonov sees continued downside risk dominating the short-term outlook, with any recovery dependent on a decisive move above immediate resistance. "Until $1.39 is broken on strong volume, I remain defensive and expect price to consolidate or test lower support levels."

Previously it was reported that XRP is currently trading within a narrow range, with $1.34 serving as near-term support and $1.43 as initial resistance, reflecting a lack of clear directional momentum on short-term charts. Technical indicators suggest the asset remains in a reactive phase, and with broader crypto sentiment cautious ahead of regulatory developments, sustained breakouts in either direction remain unconfirmed.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.