Hedera price prediction: Will heightened development stop HBAR slide?

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Hedera slides 7.76% today to $0.0967

Highlights

Hedera network activity surged with increased stablecoin supply and futures open interest, while a U.S. Department of Transportation official filed a patent for a road-use charging system compatible with Hedera’s distributed ledger.
Santiment ranked Hedera first in development activity among real-world asset platforms, driven by high throughput and enterprise-grade security, although price action remains under selling pressure.
HBAR trades at $0.0967, below key moving averages and faces persistent downward pressure, with heightened probability (80%+) of further declines and next five-day range seen between $0.0870 and $0.1050.

Institutional advances overshadowed as stablecoin activity and futures rise

Increased network activity has been observed on the Hedera network, including a surge in stablecoin supply and higher futures open interest and funding rates. Recent reports indicated that a senior official from the U.S. Department of Transportation filed a patent for a national road-use charging system using distributed ledger technology compatible with Hedera’s architecture. Santiment reported Hedera ranked first in development activity among real-world asset platforms, and features like high throughput and enterprise-grade security were highlighted as advantages for institutional blockchain use, though price action has remained under broader selling pressure.

Diverging momentum signals confront persistent selling below key resistance

At $0.0967, HBAR trades just below the MA-20 ($0.0976), clearly under the MA-50 ($0.1026), and well beneath the MA-200 ($0.1612). This setup signals persistent short- and long-term pressure from sellers, with the Ichimoku Kijun at $0.0899 acting as immediate resistance. Daily momentum appears mixed: the MACD is neutral on the daily frame but strongly negative on the weekly, and the ADX shows weak conviction in either direction. The RSI and Commodity Channel Index both reside in neutral-to-positive territory for the day, while the Stochastic RSI flashes strong sell, highlighting an emerging divergence among oscillators. Bull/Bear Power is signaling strong buyer pressure on the daily window, yet the Awesome Oscillator also supports the prevailing short-term bullish tone. Price gapped down slightly at the open, slipped 7.76% for the session, and now sits near the daily low amid high volatility and clear post-open selling pressure, which contradicts the relatively supportive readings from several oscillators.

Downside risk dominates as volatility fuels likely range-bound trading

For the next five trading days, HBAR is expected to fluctuate between $0.0870 and $0.1050, maintaining a broad sideways band relative to typical volatility. The probability of a further price decline is very high (more than 80%), with an increase seen as much less likely. The baseline scenario anticipates choppy range-bound movement. A bullish scenario would require a strong recovery above immediate resistance around $0.1000 to trigger a momentum shift, while a decisive move below $0.0890 could open the door to further declines, in line with dominant longer-term signals.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees sellers maintaining control over HBAR despite increased network activity and institutional interest. He highlights mixed signals from technical indicators and ongoing volatility, with price struggling below key moving averages and resistance at $0.1000. The analyst remains cautious as medium-term risks tilt strongly to the downside. "As long as HBAR stays suppressed below $0.1000, the path of least resistance remains lower — any rebound is just noise until the trend shifts."

Previously it was reported that Hedera (HBAR) is exhibiting positive short-term momentum as it trades above its 20- and 50-day moving averages, though longer-term technicals remain bearish with the price well below the 200-day moving average. Despite today's sharp price advance and intraday strength, mixed momentum signals—including a bearish MACD, neutral ADX, RSI near 45, and overbought short-term oscillators—highlight ongoing risk of reversal amid selective buying and subdued volatility.

Source of Data: HBAR Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.