XRP price prediction: Sustained bearish trend or ETF reversal? XRP trades sideways

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XRP drops 0.04% to $1.3791 today

Highlights

Kurv XRP Enhanced Income ETF debuted in the U.S., expanding institutional access to XRP via traditional brokerages.
Franklin's XRP ETF (XRPZ) saw a notable $6.15 million net outflow, contributing to persistent selling pressure despite $1.44 billion cumulative inflows since November 2025.
XRP trades under key technical levels with dominant bearish momentum, and the five-day outlook projects a likely sideways-to-lower range of $1.32–$1.45.

ETF outflows and inflows shape institutional sentiment amid selling

The Kurv XRP Enhanced Income ETF was launched in the U.S., offering institutional investors access to XRP through traditional brokerages. XRP-linked ETFs have experienced $1.44 billion in cumulative inflows since November 2025. On March 6, 2026, Franklin's XRP ETF (XRPZ) recorded a net outflow of $6.15 million, representing about 2.74% of assets, though price action has remained under broader selling pressure.

Downside bias confirmed as sellers control critical technical levels

Technically, bearish momentum dominates as XRP remains below all major moving averages. Immediate resistance is defined by the Ichimoku Kijun at $1.4707, and support is seen around $1.32. The D1 MACD signals a strong sell, the ADX confirms a downward trend, and the RSI is below 50, supporting the bearish outlook. Stoch RSI and CCI readings are neutral, while intraday BBP suggests buyer activity despite the prevailing negative trend; the Awesome Oscillator further validates continued downside risk. Today’s price is near the midpoint of the session, with moderate volatility and indicators showing a mix of short-term intraday activity and a dominant daily downtrend.

Sideways trading favored as volatility constrains breakout potential

In the short term, XRP is expected to fluctuate within the $1.32 to $1.45 volatility band relative to current levels, matching the range of typical weekly movement. The probability of a price increase is estimated below 20%, with sideways action most likely as algorithmic and short-term traders drive direction. A bullish breakout would require a sustained move above $1.47, while a close below $1.32 would indicate renewed downside in line with the prevailing trend.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, analyst at Traders Union, sees XRP under strong bearish pressure despite ETF innovations and steady institutional inflows. He notes that price remains below all key moving averages, which weakens near-term bullish scenarios. However, he believes the arrival of XRP-linked ETFs could lay groundwork for future adoption and positive structural shifts. Inflows signal ongoing interest, even as current technicals and sentiment limit upside for now. "ETF launches are a clear vote of confidence in XRP’s long-term story — constructive sentiment can translate to price support if key resistance zones are reclaimed soon."

Last time, analysts noted that XRP stabilized above key support levels and showed signs of a potential rebound as momentum improved, though not enough to confirm a full trend reversal. Technical focus remains on the $1.40–$1.44 resistance band, while holding above $1.36 is seen as crucial for maintaining a constructive outlook amid easing macro pressures and reduced regulatory overhang.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.