Solana price prediction: Bearish outlook ahead? SOL hovers near lower range

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Solana drops 0.75% to $85.04 today

Highlights

Mastercard's collaboration with Solana and other blockchains aims to modernize cross-border payments and settlement infrastructure.
Institutional inflows into Solana-related ETFs have surpassed $540 million amid growing stablecoin transfer volumes and corporate enhancements.
SOL faces bearish momentum and strong selling pressure, with price projected to trade between $77 and $93 over the next week.

Mastercard partnership and ETF inflows contrast with ongoing selling

Mastercard announced a partnership with Solana and other blockchain platforms to develop frameworks for cross-border payments, business payouts, and settlement infrastructure. Solana confirmed its inclusion in Mastercard’s Crypto Partner Program. Institutional investment in Solana-linked ETFs was reported to have increased, with disclosed exposures from Goldman Sachs and other participants exceeding $540 million in recent quarterly inflows, while stablecoin transfer volumes on the network rose year-over-year to $972 billion. Corporate developments, including the expansion of institutional-grade staking services and infrastructure adjustments, were also disclosed, though price action has remained under broader selling pressure.

Momentum split deepens as intraday volatility and selling pressure rise

Momentum signals are mixed: D1 MACD points to persistent bearish momentum, confirmed by a strong sell reading, while ADX indicates a prevailing downtrend but with moderate strength. The D1 RSI is neutral-to-weak at 48.91, the D1 Stoch RSI signals potential overbought conditions, and the CCI is modestly positive, reflecting some short-term buying interest. The D1 BBP is sharply overbought at 2.68, hinting at recent buyer dominance despite the day’s downward move. Today, SOL slipped by 0.75% after opening close to the previous day’s close (no significant gap), currently sitting near the lower part of its daily range — a sign of moderate volatility and some post-open selling pressure. The AO is neutral, and divergences between oscillators and momentum indicators highlight an unstable intraday environment, as recent bullish attempts encounter seller resistance.

Downside risk dominates as weekly indicators signal bearish path

For the next five trading days, the adjusted expected range is $77.00 to $93.00, reflecting a volatility band relative to current levels. Probability of a move higher is very low (less than 20%), with a price decrease being much more likely, as all major weekly indicators—MA-50, MA-100, MA-200, RSI, ADX, and MACD—signal bearishness. The baseline scenario is continued sideways trading between $77 and $93 while sellers remain in control. A bullish breakout would require a close above $93, overcoming immediate resistance, whereas a break below $77 would confirm renewed downside momentum and open the way for further losses.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees Solana’s technical setup as fragile, with price action still weighed down despite positive institutional developments and Mastercard’s partnership news. He notes that major momentum and trend indicators remain firmly bearish, while support at $77.00 is key to avoiding further losses. Kharitonov believes that upside momentum is unlikely to sustain unless $93.00 is reclaimed. "Until buyers regain control above $93.00, rallies are likely to be sold and caution is warranted."

Previously it was reported that Solmate Infrastructure, formerly Brera Holdings PLC, is pursuing a comprehensive restructuring that includes a 10-for-1 reverse stock split and a strategic pivot to Solana network infrastructure—reallocating capital from non-core assets, such as several football clubs, to its core digital asset initiatives in Abu Dhabi. Analysts note that these changes are designed to enhance institutional appeal, consolidate operations in a favorable regulatory environment, and position the company for growth in the rapidly expanding digital asset sector supported by Solana’s increasing prominence among major financial institutions.

Source of Data: SOL Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.