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Bitcoin moved back above $69,000 at the start of the week after reports of talks between the United States and Iran on a possible 45-day ceasefire. The move quickly spread across the broader crypto market: Ethereum, XRP, Solana and other major assets also advanced as investors began pricing in a scenario of partial de-escalation in the Middle East.
Bitcoin is trading at $69,200.70, up 3.2% over the past 24 hours, while Ethereum stands at $2,131.02, gaining 3.8% for the day.
At the same time, the Fear and Greed Index stands at 13. That still places the market in extreme fear territory, although the reading is improving from weaker levels seen in recent days. In other words, the market is rebounding, but nervousness has not disappeared.
According to CoinGage, the backdrop to this move is not just a technical rebound, but also political signals coming from the United States. The immediate catalyst was Donald Trump statements that talks with Iran were continuing, along with expectations surrounding his press conference at the White House. For the market, this was a sign that the U.S. administration was at least publicly leaving room for a deal, rather than focusing only on further escalation.
Comments from the White House added to that momentum. Press secretary Karoline Leavitt confirmed that Trump would provide an update on the situation, reinforcing expectations that the ceasefire issue and the negotiation window would move into the public spotlight. Against that backdrop, pressure from the oil market also eased: crude prices pulled back from recent highs, which in turn supported risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.
Within the crypto market itself, the move was accompanied by short liquidations and stronger activity in derivatives. The quick rise of BTC above $69,000 intensified the short squeeze, while higher trading volume showed that buyers were returning not only in spot trading, but also in futures.
Still, the durability of this rally remains uncertain. Despite the gains in BTC and ETH, the Fear and Greed Index at 13 shows that market participants still see the environment as unstable. That means the current rebound is being driven largely by expectations tied to diplomacy, rather than by the disappearance of risk.
At this stage, the crypto market is reacting not only to internal factors, but also to the broader geopolitical backdrop.
As long as investors see a chance for the conflict around Iran to ease, BTC and ETH are finding support as part of a broader recovery in risk appetite. But if talks collapse or Washington rhetoric turns more aggressive again, this rebound could quickly give way to another wave of selling.
In an earlier report, we noted that Bitcoin slips to $66,600 as market fear deepens.