PEPE struggles at recent lows amid continued selling pressure confirmed by MACD: weekly forecast

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Pepe drops 10.93% over the week

Highlights

PEPE trades well below key moving averages, reflecting sustained medium- and long-term selling pressure.
Momentum and trend indicators confirm persistent market weakness, with sellers dominating and no major reversal signals present.
Next week’s expected range is $0.00000320 to $0.00000360, with a bearish bias and low probability of sustained rebound.

ETF filing and regulation advances drive institutional and retail interest this week

Canary Capital filed an S1 registration with the SEC for the first spot PEPE exchange traded fund, marking a significant move toward regulated investment products in the Pepe ecosystem. Additionally, the CLARITY Act advanced in the Senate Banking Committee, providing clearer regulatory guidance for digital assets and potentially paving the way for increased institutional participation. Pepe's official website and community acknowledged these developments, fueling both institutional and retail interest, as well as speculation about further exchange listings.

Persistent bearish momentum as technicals reinforce downside bias over the week

Weekly technical analysis indicates strong weakness, with PEPE at the bottom of its weekly range and volatility at 12.32%. Both the MA-20 and MA-50 are above the current price, with the Ichimoku Kijun far out of reach, making the MA-20 the closest resistance. Momentum signals remain bearish: the weekly MACD confirms a strong sell, ADX is low, and RSI, Stochastic RSI, and CCI all show neutral to oversold levels. The Awesome Oscillator is neutral, and Bull/Bear Power continues to support prevailing seller dominance.

Limited rebound expected as sellers maintain control in the coming week

For the next 7 days, PEPE is expected to trade between $0.00000320 and $0.00000360, reflecting the present volatility and seller control seen on the weekly chart. There is less than a 20% chance of a significant rebound, with sideways movement near support being the most likely outcome based on current indicators. A bullish scenario would require the price to break above resistance at $0.00000360, but this is not supported by the technical signals. If PEPE closes below $0.00000320, a further decline is likely as selling pressure persists.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, Traders Union expert, sees this week as pivotal for Pepe’s outlook. Despite ongoing technical weakness, he notes that the first spot PEPE ETF filing and regulatory clarity have sparked new institutional and retail attention. Macro and sentiment factors are improving, laying the groundwork for renewed interest even as price remains locked in a tight range. Karapetjanc believes that advances on the regulatory front provide a constructive setup for a potential rebound if the $0.00000360 resistance breaks. "I remain confident that as sentiment shifts and institutional adoption progresses, PEPE’s long-term growth potential strengthens despite short-term pressure."

Earlier, analysts noted that Pepe was under persistent bearish momentum, with sellers maintaining control and limited prospects for a near-term reversal. The latest technical readings and increased regulatory attention reinforce this dynamic, making it crucial for traders to closely monitor the $0.00000320 level as a potential inflection point for further downside risk in the coming week.

Source of Data: PEPE Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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