BCH gains 11.63 percent as price rebounds but stays below MA-20 resistance: weekly outlook

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Bitcoin Cash gains 11.63% this week

Highlights

Bitcoin Cash remains under heavy selling pressure, trading well below key medium- and long-term technical benchmarks.
Despite a recent 11.6% rebound, the overall momentum indicators remain deeply bearish, indicating strong downside risk.
Price is expected to consolidate in the $205–$255 range over the next week, with a higher likelihood of further declines.

bearish momentum persists as major averages and indicators align

On the weekly timeframe, BCH trades firmly beneath all major moving averages — MA-20, MA-50, and MA-200 — with the Ichimoku Kijun level also far above at $421.10, firmly establishing the MA-20 as the closest resistance. Volatility for the week stands at 14.45%. Momentum indicators reinforce the bearish outlook: weekly MACD and ADX both signal a negative trend, while RSI at 31.88, CCI at -91.31, and an oversold Bull/Bear Power at -49.45 underline strong seller dominance. Stochastic RSI remains neutral, offering little sign of immediate reversal. Immediate support can be found near $205, with resistance seen at $255.

sideways trade expected as momentum signals remain negative

Over the next 7 days, BCH is expected to trade within a range of $205 to $255, reflecting current weekly volatility and momentum. The baseline scenario calls for continued sideways action near current levels, as none of the four key weekly momentum indicators show any buy signals. A sustained breakout above $255 would suggest a potential short-term recovery, while a drop below $205 would confirm further downside in line with prevailing negative signals. The probability of an upward breakout remains low (less than 20%), and bearish risks persist.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, notes that Bitcoin Cash delivered a strong 11.63% weekly gain, rebounding from recent lows despite persistent selling pressure. However, he observes that BCH remains firmly below all major weekly moving averages, which clearly limits bullish momentum. Karapetjanc sees oversold oscillators and steady volatility as signs that sellers are running out of steam, with a sideways range between $205 and $255 likely to dominate in the coming week. He highlights that an upward breakout remains possible, even if overall momentum is still negative. "I see opportunity brewing for medium-term traders: any sustainable move above $255 could ignite a new bullish phase, so I’m watching resistance levels closely," he says.

Earlier, analysts noted that Bitcoin Cash was exhibiting a short-term upside risk despite a prevailing bearish backdrop. The latest data reinforces the dominance of bearish momentum, highlighting the importance of monitoring the $255 resistance as a potential inflection point for any short-term recovery attempts.

Source of Data: BCH Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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