TON latest news: Weak MACD and RSI signal nearly oversold conditions, bears eye push below $3.007

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Toncoin Slips 1.12% to $3.08 Today

Highlights

Toncoin (TON) trades at $3.082, down 1.12% and below its MA-20, MA-50, and MA-200, indicating ongoing bearish momentum.
Key technicals show continued weakness, with RSI at 31.38, ADX at 7.2, and a daily range of $3.072–$3.095 signaling oversold conditions and subdued volatility.
For the coming week, TON is expected to consolidate between $3.007 and $3.041, with less than a 20% probability of price increase and heightened downside risk below $3.007 support.

Liquidity influx steadies price amid catalyst uncertainty

Toncoin stabilizes around $3.08 as market participants assess consolidation and increased liquidity from Robinhood's recent listing. No major corporate actions or regulatory developments have emerged on September 6, 2025. Trading dynamics remain focused on resistance at $3.54 and support near $3.02, as the asset awaits a clear directional catalyst.

Oversold momentum deepens as intraday losses persist

Momentum indicators reflect ongoing weakness. The daily MACD signals strong sell, and ADX remains low at 7.2, indicating a lack of clear trend. Oscillators such as RSI at 31.38, Stoch RSI at 24.68, and CCI at −89.2 all point to the asset being close to oversold territory, while BBP and Awesome Oscillator reinforce the dominance of sellers. TON is showing a daily decline of 1.12% after opening marginally lower than the previous close, with no significant gap. The current price sits near the lower end of today’s range ($3.072 – $3.095), signifying subdued volatility. Intraday action shows continued sell-side pressure after the open, consistent with broader momentum weakness.

Downside risk prevails with narrow range as bearish signals mount

Looking ahead, the expected price corridor for the coming week is $3.007 to $3.041. There is a very low probability (less than 20%) of a price increase, making a decrease much more likely given the overwhelmingly bearish readings from weekly MA-50, RSI, MACD, and flat ADX. The baseline scenario sees TON consolidating sideways in a narrow range. In a bullish move, a break above the $3.33 resistance zone could attract buyers, but this appears unlikely — alternatively, a push below $3.007 support could trigger further selloffs.

Anton Kharitonov, analyst at Traders Union, sees Toncoin locked in a narrow consolidation and under persistent sell-side pressure, with all key indicators remaining bearish and momentum readings weak. The base scenario remains sideways trade between $3.007 and $3.041, as the probability of a meaningful price increase is below 20%. "Until TON can reclaim at least the $3.33 resistance, I see little reason to anticipate a trend reversal — capital preservation remains the priority in this setup."

Previously, it was noted that Telegram integration drives adoption, with 87M U.S. users and 4.3M+ daily transactions. Last time we reported that institutional backing grows with a $558M private placement and Robinhood listing.

Source of Data: TON Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.