Sui slides 43.86%, after losing support at key moving averages

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Sui slides 43.86% today amid volatility

Highlights

Sui (SUI) trades below major moving averages—MA-20 at $3.43, MA-50 at $3.48, and MA-200 at $3.28—indicating strong short- and medium-term bearish pressure.
Forecasting models predict SUI could decline by 23% to $2.60 by October 14, 2025, as bearish sentiment and volatility persist.
Technical indicators remain negative, with SUI under $3.28 support and less than a 20% chance of rebounding above resistance at $3.52 in the next five days.

Declining prices drive persistent bearish sentiment amid volatility

Forecasting models project SUI could drop by 23% to $2.60 by October 14, 2025, signaling persistent bearish sentiment amid heightened volatility. Recent market observations reflect declines against both USD and BTC in daily performance. The backdrop reinforces a cautious short-term outlook for the token.

Momentum weakens as SUI loses support and oversold signals emerge

Technically, SUI remains under pressure as it trades well below all major moving averages, losing support at the MA-200 and facing the nearest dynamic resistance at the Ichimoku Kijun at $3.52. No strong support levels are currently visible, and overall momentum signals are negative, with daily MACD and ADX indicating an ongoing but limited downtrend. Stoch RSI and CCI are oversold, suggesting the market is stretched, while a technically high RSI at 62.80 diverges from the bearish setup. Other indicators, like BBP and the Awesome Oscillator, send mixed signals, but selling pressure remains dominant after a 43.86% drop with extreme intraday volatility.

Further downside likely as rebound odds diminish on technicals

Looking ahead over the next five trading days, SUI is expected to move within a wide range, likely between $3.49 and $3.67. The probability of a price rebound is low — less than 20% — making further downside more probable. While a pause or sideways move may occur if SUI stabilizes, reclaiming resistance above $3.52 appears unlikely without a sharp reversal. Sustained trading below $3.28 would open the way to deeper losses as technical signals remain bearish.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, notes that SUI's sustained weakness below all major moving averages reflects ongoing bearish sentiment and adverse momentum conditions. He sees fundamental and macro headwinds continuing to outweigh short-term technical oversold signals, while heightened volatility points to a challenging environment for bulls. Despite a constructive longer-term outlook and the possibility of market stabilization, Karapetjanc maintains a cautiously optimistic approach in the near term. "If SUI can reclaim key resistance above $3.52 and stabilize, structural upside may emerge — but until then, patience remains crucial for risk-aware investors."

Previously, it was highlighted that anticipation around Sui's first native stablecoins is improving sentiment and liquidity prospects. The market focus was described as centered on the upcoming launch through a partnership aiming to improve liquidity and utility across the Sui blockchain.

Source of Data: SUI Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.