MARA news live: downside bias persists — low probability for near-term rebound

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MARA Holdings slides 3.05% today

Highlights

MARA Holdings shifted strategy this quarter, focusing on building digital infrastructure for blockchain and AI computing beyond traditional cryptocurrency mining.
The company produced 2,144 BTC and purchased 2,257 BTC in the quarter, increasing total Bitcoin holdings to nearly 53,000 BTC, almost double last year.
These operational developments and Bitcoin accumulation updates were disclosed in MARA Holdings' latest earnings report.

Bitcoin accumulation and AI push shape operational transformation

In its most recent quarter, MARA Holdings reported progress in diversifying its operations, shifting from traditional cryptocurrency mining toward building digital infrastructure for blockchain and AI computing. The company produced 2,144 BTC and purchased an additional 2,257 BTC, increasing total Bitcoin holdings to nearly 53,000 BTC — almost double compared to last year. These operational updates were disclosed in the latest earnings report.

Bearish macro momentum meets intraday buyer activity divergence

Momentum indicators on the daily chart are firmly negative, with the MACD signaling a strong sell and the ADX showing a moderate bearish bias. Momentum oscillators are mixed: daily RSI (41.84) and CCI (near neutral) lean bearish, while the Stoch RSI remains in overbought territory, signaling caution for buyers. Bull/Bear Power is in strong buy territory, suggesting short-term buyers are challenging the downtrend intraday, but this is at odds with the core momentum picture. The Awesome Oscillator stays neutral and does not add to the prevailing trend. MARA opened slightly lower today with no notable gap and has since declined 3.05%, with the price now near the lower end of its intraday range — reflecting moderate volatility and continued selling pressure after the open. There is clear divergence between bearish momentum and some intraday buying interest, leading to choppy short-term dynamics.

Downward bias prevails as technical resistance caps upside

For the next five trading days, MARA is expected to trade within a typical volatility range of $10.80 to $13.40, keeping the current price comfortably between support and resistance. The probability of a price increase is very low (less than 20%), given the strong cluster of sell signals across all major weekly indicators, making a price decrease much more likely. The baseline scenario anticipates MARA remaining in a sideways corridor below the $13.40 mark. A bullish breakout could emerge if the price firmly clears $14.50, but upside is limited by overarching technical resistance, while a decisive drop below $10.80 would amplify the bearish trend and open the door to further declines.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees MARA Holdings locked in a downtrend below key moving averages, with negative momentum dominating across timeframes. He notes some signs of operational progress, but technical resistance around $14.50 and persistent bearish indicators suggest little optimism. Sellers remain in control while intraday buying has yet to challenge the broader decline. "Base case remains sideways to lower, with no reason to buy unless price firmly reclaims $14.50."

Previously it was reported that MARA Holdings was trading below key moving averages, with medium- and long-term indicators reflecting ongoing bearish momentum and sellers maintaining pressure. A short-term bullish intraday move was observed, but oscillators such as the RSI and MACD reinforced a bearish outlook, and the stock was expected to remain range-bound between immediate support and resistance, with a probability of a further price increase remaining very low.

Source of Data: MARA Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.