Berkshire Hathaway stock price forecast: sideways movement likely as BRK hesitates near resistance
Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK) is trading at $498.84, just below the MA-20 ($499.65), slightly above the MA-50 ($498.82), and above the MA-200 ($497.38), indicating short-term hesitation but ongoing support from medium- and long-term averages.
Highlights
- Berkshire Hathaway reported better-than-expected third quarter results, driven by strong performance in its insurance operations.
- The company remained a net seller of equities, offloading $143 billion in 2024 and over $24 billion in the first nine months of 2025, pushing cash holdings above $354 billion.
- Investor focus has increased on potential changes to Berkshire Hathaway's capital allocation, including dividends, share buybacks, and Greg Abel's influence on strategy.
Insurance gains drive profit as cash reserves reach record highs
Berkshire Hathaway reported better-than-expected third quarter results, driven by strong performance from its insurance operations. The company has maintained its position as a net seller of equities, with $143 billion sold in 2024 and over $24 billion sold in the first nine months of 2025, resulting in a cash balance exceeding $354 billion. Market attention has increased around potential changes to capital allocation, including possible dividends or share buybacks, as well as Greg Abel's influence on company strategy.
Mixed momentum and resistance at Kijun highlight intraday uncertainty
The nearest dynamic resistance sits at the Ichimoku Kijun level of $499.26, while the MA-50 serves as additional support. Momentum signals are mixed: MACD on the daily chart signals weakening momentum with a Sell reading, and ADX remains neutral at low levels, indicating a lack of strong directional trend. RSI hovers near neutral with a slight bearish tilt, while the Stochastic RSI flashes a Strong Buy, suggesting potential upward reversal; CCI is neutral. Bull/Bear Power shows overbought conditions, signaling buyers have dominated intraday, but the Awesome Oscillator does not support a clear trend. Divergences among oscillators and momentum—bullish Stochastic RSI versus bearish MACD and neutral CCI—underscore an uncertain intraday tone, as declining prices contrast buyer dominance in short bursts.
Sideways bias likely as volatility bands contain direction
For the next five trading days, a typical volatility band is expected between $494.00 and $503.00, keeping close to current levels. The probability of an upward move is moderate (50%), with downside risk equally likely, based on bullish weekly signals (RSI, MACD, and MA-50 bullish; ADX neutral). The baseline scenario projects sideways movement between $494.00 and $503.00. A break above resistance at $499.26 could prompt attempts toward $503.00, while a clear breakdown below $497.00 may trigger a move toward $494.00.
Previously it was reported that Berkshire Hathaway is trading below its major moving averages, facing persistent downward pressure with momentum indicators confirming weak tone and oversold conditions. The price is expected to consolidate sideways within a defined range, with limited upside probability and greater risk of further declines if support breaks.
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