Nvidia stock price forecast: Earnings anticipation and AI deals as NVDA trades near highs

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Nvidia rises 0.93% to $189.65 today

Highlights

Nvidia reports fiscal Q4 and full-year 2026 earnings after market close on February 25, with investor focus on AI and infrastructure growth drivers.
A multiyear strategic partnership with Meta Platforms and Meta's expanded 2026 capex plan are set to boost Nvidia’s AI infrastructure revenues.
Nvidia trades at $189.65, above key moving averages (MA-20 $186.23, MA-50 $184.80), signaling bullish momentum with $185.00–$195.00 as the expected near-term range.

AI partnership and earnings anticipation drive optimistic sentiment

Nvidia is set to report its fiscal fourth-quarter and full-year 2026 earnings after the market closes on February 25, with a conference call scheduled for later that day. Recently, Nvidia and Meta Platforms announced a multiyear strategic partnership to develop AI infrastructure, accompanied by Meta's expanded 2026 capital expenditure plans that will benefit Nvidia. Additionally, Nvidia is reportedly nearing a $30 billion investment in OpenAI as part of a major fundraising round.

Mixed momentum signals as trend strength weakens near session highs

Momentum indicators are mostly positive, with a strong Buy signal from MACD and Neutral readings from ADX, suggesting bullish momentum but lacking strong trend conviction. Overbought levels from the Stochastic RSI and Bull/Bear Power indicate buyer dominance intraday, while the RSI shows moderate upward momentum and CCI remains neutral. There is a modest gap down at the open, but the price has reversed higher, now trading near today’s high within a moderate volatility range. The overall intraday tone is characterized by renewed strength toward session highs, though short-term oscillators pointing to overbought warrant some caution. Note that conflicting signals exist — while momentum and price action are bullish, extremely overbought oscillator readings hint at limited near-term upside.

Upside bias expected as consolidation persists before key events

Looking ahead to the next week, NVDA is expected to trade in a $185.00 – $195.00 volatility band relative to current levels. Technical indicators suggest a very high probability (over 80%) of a price increase, making a decline far less likely. The baseline scenario is for the stock to consolidate between support and resistance as bullish momentum endures. In a bullish scenario, a breakout above $195.00 could occur with continued strong buying, while a downturn would see a move below $185.00 to test support.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, notes that NVDA is trading above all its key moving averages, keeping the technical setup bullish across timeframes. He sees bullish momentum affirmed by the recent partnership news with Meta and possible OpenAI investment, but points out that overbought signals and modest trend conviction on momentum indicators warrant caution. The analyst believes most technical and sentiment drivers favor upside, yet risk of short-term pullback remains elevated as the stock hovers near the top of its volatility band. "My outlook is cautious: unless NVDA breaks above $195.00 with strong volume, I would avoid chasing prices after this sharp run-up."

Last time, analysts noted that Nvidia stock remains in a bullish trend, trading above key moving averages with momentum indicators showing mild consolidation and the RSI hovering near neutral levels. Immediate resistance lies between $190 and $195, with a breakout likely triggering a move toward $205–$210, while key support levels are established at $182 and near the 50-day moving average around $175.

Source of Data: NVDA Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.