Revenue jumps 1,240% and government contract secured — AST SpaceMobile stock slides 4.43%

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AST SpaceMobile drops 4.43% today

Highlights

AST SpaceMobile reported Q3 2025 revenue of $14.7 million, reflecting a 1,239.91% year-over-year increase driven by federal contract wins and new ventures.
Short interest in ASTS rose 8.9% in the last two reporting periods, now at 28% of float, amid continued price pressure and elevated market attention.
ASTS trades at $81.96, below its MA-20 ($94.21) and key resistance at $88.00–$90.00, with the expected five-day range set at $74.00–$88.00.

Revenue surge and government contract drive attention amid rising short interest

AST SpaceMobile reported revenue of $14.7 million for Q3 2025, reflecting a year-over-year growth rate of 1,239.91%. The company secured a federal government contract through the SDA's Europa Track 2 program, demonstrating its direct-to-device capability with its BlueBird satellite constellation and established a joint venture with Vodafone for broadband services in Europe. Short interest rose by 8.9% over the last two reporting periods, now representing 28% of available float, indicating increased market attention ahead of the next earnings disclosure, though price action has remained under broader selling pressure.

Bearish momentum deepens as resistance and mixed signals confound outlook

Technically, ASTS faces sustained downward momentum as it remains below the MA-20 ($94.21) and MA-50 ($91.95) while still holding above the longer-term MA-200 ($62.57). Immediate resistance is found at the Ichimoku Kijun level of $103.76. Momentum indicators are mixed: the daily MACD signals continued downside with a Sell bias, ADX is weak at 15.91, and the RSI is subdued at 45.52, accompanied by Sell signals from the CCI. However, Stochastic RSI and Bull/Bear Power both indicate an oversold market, with sellers dominating intraday, while the Awesome Oscillator has turned neutral. The price opened with a downward gap ($83.02 vs. prior close of $85.76), dropped 4.43%, and trades near intraday lows, reflecting high volatility and continued sell pressure, with conflicting signals from oscillators and momentum tools.

Volatility expected to persist as range breakout may reset direction

For the coming five trading days, the expected price range for ASTS is adjusted to $74.00 – $88.00, reflecting likely volatility from the current $81.96 level. A sideways move within this volatility band is the baseline, with a higher probability for an upward move, supported by positive signals from weekly Moving Averages and momentum indicators. A break above the $88.00 – $90.00 zone would indicate a potential reversal, while a drop below $74.00 could accelerate downward momentum towards longer-term support.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees strong growth potential in AST SpaceMobile despite current selling pressure. He views rapid revenue expansion and high-profile partnerships as fundamental positives. Market sentiment is clouded by rising short interest, but longer-term momentum remains intact above the MA-200. The analyst remains confident in a potential upward move if $88.00 is reclaimed. "Positive fundamentals and renewed buying could trigger a sharp recovery toward $90.00 in the near term."

Previously it was reported that AST SpaceMobile Inc. trades below its short- and medium-term moving averages, signaling sustained bearish momentum in the near term despite an ongoing long-term uptrend. Momentum indicators, including a bearish MACD and RSI in the mid-40s, suggest mixed but broadly weak conditions, with dynamic resistance at the 50-day SMA and further technical barriers near the Kijun level.

Source of Data: ASTS Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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