Reckitt Benckiser stock price forecast: Bears hold sway as RKT slips 7.08% after results

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Reckitt Benckiser drops 7.08% today

Highlights

Reckitt Benckiser delivered strong 2025 results, doubling net profit to £3.18 billion with 5% like-for-like revenue growth.
The company raised its final dividend by 5% and returned £2.3 billion to shareholders, reiterating 4–5% growth guidance for 2026.
Despite robust fundamentals, shares remain under heavy selling pressure, with technical signals indicating oversold conditions and a $5,400–$5,980 consolidation range expected near term.

Robust profit surge and dividend hike amid ongoing selling pressure

Reckitt Benckiser reported full-year results for 2025, with attributable net profit increasing to £3.18 billion from £1.43 billion and earnings per share rising 129.9% to 467.2 pence. Adjusted operating profit grew to £3.54 billion, and full-year net revenue reached £14.20 billion, with like-for-like net revenue growth of 5.0%. The company announced a 5% increase in its final 2025 dividend to 127.8 pence and returned £2.3 billion to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks. Management confirmed medium-term guidance for 4% to 5% like-for-like net revenue growth for 2026, and two changes to the Board were disclosed, though price action has remained under broader selling pressure.

Oversold conditions deepen as support tested and volatility spikes

From a technical viewpoint, RKT is trading beneath all its major moving averages (MA-20, MA-50, and MA-200), reflecting seller dominance across timeframes and a long-term support zone that is currently being tested. The immediate resistance is defined by the Ichimoku Kijun at $6,213.00. Momentum indicators are neutral on trend (MACD, ADX), while oscillators (RSI at 37.02, a deeply oversold Commodity Channel Index, and Stochastic RSI at zero) signal heavy oversold conditions. Bull/Bear Power is at an extremely negative level, reinforcing intraday seller momentum. The stock opened lower with a gap down and is trading close to daily lows, underscoring strong volatility and pronounced intraday selling pressure; most technical signals confirm this negative tone, though longer-term trend measures remain more neutral.

Bullish consolidation likely as oversold state curbs downside risk

Over the next five trading days, RKT is expected to move within a typical volatility band between $5,400 and $5,980. The probability of upward movement is high (over 80%), while a further decline is less likely. Baseline expectations are for continued consolidation as oversold conditions are likely to cap additional downside. A bullish scenario requires a break above $6,213, targeting a quick move toward $6,000, whereas sustained trading below $5,400 may lead to a deeper correction, though oversold momentum lowers the risk of an immediate breakdown.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees Reckitt Benckiser’s strong fundamentals and dividend growth as a sign of robust business resilience. He notes that recent selling pressure is likely driven by sentiment and technical factors despite positive earnings and reliable medium-term guidance. The analyst believes heavy oversold conditions and company buybacks offer a platform for recovery. In his view, the upward probability is favorable for tactical buyers. "With solid financials in place, I expect the stock to rebound soon, especially if it closes above $6,213 in the coming sessions."

Last time, analysts noted that Reckitt Benckiser Group plc faced near-term selling pressure with its price trading below short- and medium-term moving averages and immediate support found at the Ichimoku Kijun. Momentum indicators, including MACD and ADX, show underlying bullish bias despite the current price consolidating between key support and resistance zones, as volatility persists and intraday action remains negative.

Source of Data: RKT Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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