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Joseph Politano reports that tariffs did not achieve their intended goal of reducing the trade deficit.
In 2025, net imports of goods and services reached a new record high, exceeding $1 trillion even when adjusted for inflation. Although there was a reduction in imports over the last three quarters, it was not enough to offset the earlier surge in 2025.
The persistence of the trade deficit despite tariff measures highlights broader challenges in international commerce and domestic industry. Recent developments in net imports bear resemblance to Canada's modest economic trajectory, as reflected in the slight contraction of Canada's GDP noted last October. Additionally, shifts in demand for foreign goods coincide with trends such as the decline in U.S. warehouse construction, suggesting a complex interplay between trade policies, supply chain investment, and overall economic growth.