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Profitable third diverges from rest in U.S., Ernie Tedeschi notes
Economist Ernie Tedeschi analyzes recent economic data in an inaugural Stripe Economics post. He observes that while the richest third of U.S. public companies are pulling ahead in profitability—a classic K-shaped trend—such divergence is currently evident on Wall Street but not yet on Main Street.
Tedeschi's review of macroeconomic statistics and Stripe data suggests rising inequality among companies, even as broader economic stagnation has not fully materialized for most U.S. communities.
Tedeschi’s observations on rising corporate inequalities align with his prior analysis of a significant acceleration in nonfarm business productivity, which highlighted shifts in efficiency across sectors. His work has also underscored how demographic headwinds such as lower birthrate trends could slow aggregate GDP growth, even as per capita outcomes remain a central measure of economic health.
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