Dario Perkins: U.S. economy could face sharper downturn than other advanced economies

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30.03.2026

Dario Perkins: U.S. economy could face sharper downturn than other advanced economies — U.S. economic risks could intensify

Dario Perkins suggests that the U.S. economy, if it experiences a downturn, may do so more rapidly than other advanced economies. He points to labor hoarding as a norm in those countries, which could contribute to differing economic outcomes. Perkins also questions deterministic predictions, noting that when people state all scenarios lead to a single outcome, that result rarely materializes.

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Perkins previously noted that after the 1990 oil price surge, only one central bank raised rates in response to major fiscal stimulus, highlighting varied policy reactions across countries here. He has also discussed investor concerns following five years of above-target inflation and questioned the effects of the latest energy shock here. These observations build on his ongoing analysis of macroeconomic responses to external shocks.

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.

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