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Mike McGlone, industry influencer, highlights that the Bloomberg Energy Spot Index could surpass its 2005 peak if Brent crude oil remains above $120 a barrel.
He adds that both outcomes are unlikely unless a severe disruption takes place in the Strait of Hormuz.
McGlone recently signaled that U.S. stock market capitalization dropped by about $3 trillion, raising the possibility of higher volatility in equities this year, according to a recent note. He has also highlighted the potential for a rebound in U.S. Treasuries compared to gold after reaching relative lows, as seen in a separate analysis. These observations follow his current focus on energy markets.