The tweet was deleted by the author.
But we saved everything 🙂.
Frederik Ducrozet suggests that, if not for the ongoing war, discussions would be centered on how many interest rate cuts the Bank of England might implement in the coming months.
Ducrozet points to the significant impact of geopolitical events on current economic policy debates.
Ducrozet previously analyzed euro area PMIs, noting that higher energy prices created major supply chain effects in industry but had limited impact on services sector prices (full article). He also cited ECB SAFE survey results showing that while selling price expectations have risen, the long-term inflation outlook remains stable and wage growth is slowing (full article). These observations contribute to current economic policy discussions shaped by geopolitical pressures.