Debt could rise $2 trillion and interest hit 30 percent of revenue, Marc Goldwein warns

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Persisting rates could trigger debt spiral

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Olga Shendetskaya

21.05.2026

Debt could rise $2 trillion and interest hit 30 percent of revenue, Marc Goldwein warns — Persisting rates could trigger debt spiral

Marc Goldwein warns that if current interest rates remain elevated, the U.S. could face a significant debt increase of $2 trillion and see interest payments consume 30 percent of government revenue. He notes that mortgage costs could rise by $96,500 and projects that by 2029, rates of return will exceed growth, widening to a 75 basis point gap by 2036.

Goldwein concludes these trends could push America into a debt spiral.

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Goldwein previously cautioned that rising yields could increase U.S. debt by $2 trillion over a decade, as outlined in his recent analysis. In another warning, he noted that a gas tax holiday might risk highway construction while yielding only a 0.1 percent reduction in cost of living, according to a separate report. His comments reflect ongoing attention to the fiscal impact of rate and policy movements.

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.

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