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Bob Elliott, co-founder and CIO at Unlimited, points to a surge in new orders during April, largely attributed to a strong month for Boeing.
He notes that such increases in orders do not always result in immediate production gains, as many add to existing backlogs rather than leading to near-term output increases.
Elliott has recently highlighted that the housing market began to weaken before a recent spike in long-end yields, citing the March Case-Schiller index in his analysis of housing activity. He has also noted that U.S. households are facing pressure from falling real incomes, with ongoing effects on consumer spending as outlined in his assessment of household finances. These observations frame the current discussion around incoming new orders and broader economic conditions.