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Bob Elliott, co-founder and CIO at Unlimited, states that recent declines in oil prices are causing central banks to reassess the need for further interest rate hikes.
While policymakers continue to focus on inflation, Elliott points out that lower oil prices are likely driving front-end yields lower as the risk of additional rate increases diminishes.
Elliott has previously observed sector-specific shifts. In April, he attributed a rise in new orders to Boeing, while cautioning that expanded backlogs could delay production increases. Earlier, he noted that the U.S. housing market weakened before the recent spike in long-end yields.