China able to expand via net exports, Brad Setser notes

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08.06.2026

China able to expand via net exports, Brad Setser notes — China growth driven by net exports

Brad Setser questions the notion that China, as the world's second largest economy, is entitled to ongoing growth by relying on net exports.

He highlights that trade has traditionally been viewed as a two-way exchange rather than allowing one country to grow primarily through persistent trade surpluses.

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Setser has previously noted that China needs large-scale exports to balance increased domestic supply, raising concerns about global trade imbalances in a recent analysis. In a separate piece, he highlighted how U.S. multinational tax strategies through Ireland substantially affect Eurozone external data and IMF assessments, as detailed here. These observations add context to the ongoing debate over the sustainability of China's export-driven growth.

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.

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