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Gita Gopinath, first deputy managing director at IMF, discusses the latest July update. She highlights that the Iran conflict and the emerging AI supercycle are key factors influencing the current outlook.
Gopinath adds that while AI-driven productivity gains have not yet been included in the baseline, inflation poses a greater concern. However, she notes that, for now, financial conditions are favorable.
Gopinath has previously commented on differences between G7 economists and IMF reports on global imbalances. She has also addressed IMF concerns that Fed forward guidance during the pandemic may have gone too far. These issues remain focal points in her ongoing assessments of external risks.