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Mike Shedlock, author / blogger at MishTalk, questions the effectiveness of using core inflation as a benchmark because it excludes food and energy costs.
He emphasizes that energy prices underpin most other costs in the economy and criticizes any focus on a brief decline in inflation largely attributed to a temporary reduction in energy prices. Shedlock also references bond yields as further context for his skepticism.
Shedlock has previously pushed back against negative economic outlooks, questioning whether an 8% probability of recession should be viewed as doom porn. He has also highlighted market expectations, noting a 70 percent chance of a Fed rate hike before the U.S. election. These comments add context to his skepticism on inflation metrics.