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Brad Setser examines the concept of a gold-adjusted Chinese trade and current account surplus.
Setser presents this topic as part of a new blog, inviting consideration of how gold might impact measures of China’s trade and current account balances.
Setser has previously noted that German auto exports to China have dropped sharply, risking around 0.6 percentage points of GDP and exposing dangers of external reliance, according to past analysis. He also observed that European leaders consider current trade relations with China unbalanced and unsustainable, as detailed in a separate report. These themes provide additional context to his latest discussion of China’s economic position.